Euro up near one-month high after ECB rate hike talk
The euro edged up near a one-month high against the dollar in Asian trading on Monday, after some European Central Bank policymakers raised the possibility of hiking interest rates before bond purchases end.
The euro was up 0.1 percent at $1.0691 <eur=>, after rising as high as $1.0699 on Friday, its highest level since Feb. 9.
Some members of the ECB’s Governing Council discussed the possibility of higher interest rates at last week’s policy meeting, but talk on the issue was brief and did not receive broad support, said two sources familiar with the discussion.
Euro’s gains were limited on expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will raise interest rates at its two-day policy meeting ending on Wednesday.
U.S. employers hired workers at a robust pace in February, beating expectations, and wages grinded higher, which could give the Fed the green light to hike interest rates despite slowing economic growth.
Fed fund futures prices showed investors pricing in more than a 90 percent chance of an increase in U.S. overnight interest rates, according to CME Group’s FedWatch tool.
As market participants ponder the outlook for future monetary policy moves, day-to-day trading so far this year has vexed some investors.
“It’s hard to pick one specific theme in a market like this,” said Bart Wakabayashi, branch manager for State Street Bank and Trust in Tokyo.
“It’s hard to find trends, so I think people are mostly just playing ranges, technicals and momentum,” he said.
The dollar was steady against its Japanese counterpart at 114.86 yen <jpy=>, below Friday’s high of 115.50 yen, the highest since Jan. 19.
Speculators had boosted bullish bets on the U.S. dollar in the week through March 7, lifting net longs to their highest level since early February, according to Commodity Futures Trading Commission data released on Friday and calculations by Reuters. [IMM/FX]