USD/JPY Forecast – May 11, 2017
The USD/JPY pair had a volatile session on Wednesday, as we bounced off the 113.50 level, and then finally managed to build up enough momentum to break above the 114 handle. It looks as if we are going to continue the uptrend, and that should send us looking for the longer-term target of the 115 handle. That’s an area that has been resistive on the longer-term charts, and I believe that if we can break above there, the market becomes more of a “buy-and-hold” type of proposition. Pullbacks currently should be buying opportunities, and I recognize that the market continues to favor the USD/JPY pair due to the overall “risk on” attitude of traders. The markets continue to find buyers on pullbacks, and I don’t think that’s going to change. I believe that the 115 level is such a large target for traders that it’s almost impossible to ignore.
I continue to think that buying dips on short-term charts will be the way going forward, as we are most certainly in a very bullish trend. If we break down below the 113.50 level, the market could then go looking for the 113 handle, but at that point I would expect a lot of support as well. Either way, I have no interest in shorting this market, and believe that the longer-term buyers have already reentered the market after the lows that we saw several months. If we do somehow break above the 115 handle, the market should then go to the 118 level after that. Going forward, I anticipate that there will be a lot of volatility, but a general positive attitude as the US dollar is favored over a lot of currencies around the world, and the Japanese yen of course will be any different.